During the Second
Healthcare Quality Conclave of the Quality Council of India ( QCI ) in Kolkata
, the Member of Healthcare Division , Mr.Rajendra Pratap Gupta proposed two
important recommendations in his keynote address on 17th March 2012;
1. Setting up of the
Patient Safety Desk in all hospitals
2. A credible anonymous
reporting forum for medical / patient safety
Soyash Borar, Chief
Operating Officer of B.M. Birla Heart Center immediately accepted the idea of
setting up the patient safety desk in his hospital
Rajendra Pratap Gupta
Investors with a long-term
perspective can accumulate the stock of Apollo Hospitals. With an established
chain of hospitals and network of standalone pharmacies, the stock plays on the
secular growth likely in the country's healthcare segment. Well-planned
expansion initiatives — both in terms of bed capacities, geographical presence
and pharmacies, besides regular investments in the upkeep of technology — have
helped Apollo maintain a strong growth momentum.
The company's growth
prospects look promising, given its plans to further add to its capacities and
expand reach to Tier-II and III cities. Valuations in comparison seem
justified. At the current market price of Rs 630, the stock trades at about 29
times its likely FY13 per share earnings.
GROWING FOOTPRINT
Apollo Hospitals currently
has 51 hospitals with a total bed capacity of 8,276 beds. Of these, 37 are
fully-owned hospitals with an aggregate of 5,888 beds (5,374 were operational,
70 per cent utilisation).
In a few years, Apollo
plans to have tertiary hospitals in eight Tier-I cities even as it executes its
ongoing expansion drive across Tier-II/III cities (Apollo REACH) — expects to
add 2,860 beds in a couple of years, taking the total count to take their
number to 8,500 by 2017 (owned assets). It is currently implementing projects
across various locations in India, including Mumbai, Chennai, New Delhi,
Hyderabad and Bangalore.
With an established brand
name and credentials, and no meaningful competition in terms of geographical
presence or scale of operation, Apollo's expansion plans can be expected to
make good contributions in four-five years (typically, new hospitals turn
margin positive from the fourth year of operation).
Adding its capacities and
hospital network across its primary, multi-speciality and super-speciality
hospitals will also help Apollo leverage on the patient inflow through
references. It will also help it better deploy its resources and optimise
cost-efficiencies, given the economies of scale and higher bargaining power
(follows centralised purchasing).
What's also helped Apollo
is a vast talent pool of doctors, nurses and paramedics. For instance, it had
over 4,100 doctors across more than 50 specialities, 7,800 nurses and 2,400
paramedic personnel at the end of March-2011.
RETAILING MEDICINES
Apollo is the largest
player in the organised pharmacy business, and boasts of a network of 1,290
centres (as of December 2011).
What's interesting here is
that Apollo hasn't been hasty in adding stores. It has instead taken measured
steps, adding new stores while closing down the underperforming ones each
quarter. For instance, in the nine-month ended December 2011, the company added
179 new stores and shut down 88 underperforming ones (net addition of 91
stores).
The average revenue per
store in the nine-month period has seen a 15.7 per cent increase to Rs 48.3
lakh, with the pharmacies continuing to see an expansion in operating margins.
FUNDING AND FINANCIALS
As the company continues to
increase its bed capacities and roll out new hospitals, capital expenditure can
be expected to remain high. The estimated project cost for its ongoing
expansion plans of reaching 2,860 beds by FY15 is pegged at about Rs 1861
crore. Of this, Apollo's share is about Rs 1,646 crore. While it has so far
invested Rs 223.4 crore (Rs 156.7 crore at the end of Sep-11 quarter) towards
this, it plans to raise about Rs 1000 odd crore through debt and internal
accruals going forward.
While it may not be
difficult for the company to raise the required debt (debt/equity was 0.3 times
in the latest standalone half-yearly balance sheet), it could also tap funds by
way of hiving off some of its non-core assets such as Apollo Health Street
(BPO) and the insurance business.
A possible stake sale in
its pharmacy business, which turned EBIT positive in March 2011 quarter, could
also help stave off any possible fund crunch. As of December-end, it had a net
debt of Rs 393 crore.
Apollo's consolidated
revenues in the nine-month period have grown by about 20.7 per cent to Rs 2,311
crore. While the share of the healthcare services continued to remain high (70
per cent of standalone revenues), contribution for the pharmacies have seen a
marked improvement.
It has also registered an
improvement in the average revenue per operating bed (11.2 per cent increase to
Rs 20,147 per day). Consolidated PAT grew by 28.4 per cent to Rs 170 crore.
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