25 Mar 2012

Mother Nature locks horns with climate change - by George M. Mangion


 The potential impact of climate change on the environment and socio-economic systems can be understood in terms of sensitivity, adaptability and vulnerability of our existence on this planet. Based on a recent scientific report, it stresses the magnitude and the rate of climate change that could directly impinge on the industrial, commercial and agricultural sectors. Although much progress has been made to improve both air and water quality and there are still grave doubts when it comes to predicting regional climate changes, one thing is certain about the long term effect on general living standards. This is expected to be negative due to higher temperatures and the possible erosion of coastal areas, including sandy beaches.
When talking of such matters one may well ask: what are we doing to minimise the damage? Various studies commissioned by Mepa show gaps in our understanding of some key ecological processes, which, if left unchecked, will directly affect our habitat. As can be expected, its impact will reflect on the vulnerability of our ecological system as an island so dependent on tourism. To start with, there will be heightened risks associated with the transmission of infectious diseases borne by migrant birds, which themselves are negatively affected by climatic factors. Infective agents and their vector organisms are sensitive to factors such as temperature, surface water, humidity, wind and soil moisture, which are variables mentioned in various empirical studies. It is therefore projected that climate change and resultant variations in weather patterns may potentially affect the diseases borne by migrant bird life and if this is severe and reaches acute levels it may start a pandemic. It goes without saying that this would scare travellers away but it could also have a damaging effect on our poultry industry. Global warming, which has raised the temperature in the Canadian Arctic by 4°C in the past 50 years, means the natural habitat of arctic animals such as bears is inexorably disappearing. Reports state the example of Hudson Bay, where the ice melts completely in summer; scientists have noted that due to global warming it is now happening three weeks earlier than normal. On our side of the pond, scientific reports says that warming during the last 100 years was 0.74 C, with most of the warming occurring during the past 50 years. The warming for the next 20 years is projected to be 0.2°C per decade. Even more ominous is the forecast of a rise in temperature of about 3°C, which scientists predict will occur at the end of the century. All these facts give ample proof that human activity is responsible for this warming and that it is likely to be irreversible for centuries, even if greenhouse gas emissions are stabilised.
There are a number of heavy polluting countries principally India, China and United States. China has more than 2,000 coal-fired power plants pouring carbon emissions into the atmosphere. These spew toxic fumes float high in the air and around the globe on what has become a transcontinental conveyor belt of toxic air. Although North America and Europe add their own dirty loads to the belt, experts single out Asia, pulsating with the economic rebirth of China and India, as the largest contributor. Daniel J. Jacob, a Harvard professor of atmospheric chemistry and one of the chief researchers in a recent multinational study of transcontinental air pollution, said “we’re all breathing each other’s air”.
Closer to home, we never realise the irreversible damage to air quality when we allow emissions from power stations, heavy transport vehicles and the hospital incinerator go by unchecked in a densely populated island. One reason our old Marsa power station industry is licensed to spew out so much pollution is because it will soon be dismantled. Politicians have assured us that the Delimara plant will soon be expanded to run on heavy fuel oil. Yet our politicians must have got their sums wrong as the dismantling of Marsa power station and the upgrading of the Delimara to eventually operate on clean gas has taken more than 20 years and is yet to materialise. How much longer can we tolerate such an attitude when the European Commission is penalising Enemalta for its infringements? The positive aspect is that the EU decided that member states had to cut annual greenhouse gas emissions by 30 per cent between 2008 and 2012. Party apologists say it is not the government’s fault that the planned reduction has not been achieved but perhaps the fault of its technical advisers. A fully manned Directorate at the Malta Resources Authority (MRA) complete with a full time chairman and all the attendant perks was established. Yet no one seems very concerned about the cost involved to fight the increased incidence of asthma and bronchitis caused as a result of our polluted environment, particularly our air quality. MRA is powerless to take firm action on the closure of the old Marsa power station, which for the past years has generated essential electricity albeit in a densely populated area.
Another aspect of climate change is the heavy use of fertilizers, sulphides and insecticides in farming which collectively cause irreparable damage to the water table. In spite of this danger, we are assured that daily tests on water samples are carried out to monitor the situation. The authorities inform us that more than 5,000 samples were collected in 2006, which generated approximately 54,516 tests, of which around 38,286 were physical and chemical tests and 16,230 bacteriological tests. Official tests showed that there were no instances of contamination or non-conformity, removing the fear of high nitrate concentrations in the groundwater. This may be a sign that more ground water is being extracted and less use made of reverse osmosis filtration from the sea. This is commendable, but while we need to be diligent in our testing programmes we cannot rest on our laurels based on the quality of drinking water only.
The good news this week is that discussions are underway with the Malta Environment and Planning Authority and Water Services Corporation, which has applied for EU funds to cover the expense of installing new equipment, estimated at about €12 million, to continue filtering treated sewage for use in agriculture and industry. At present, there are three new sewage treatment plants, which make Malta the first country in the Mediterranean and the seventh in the EU to treat all its sewage. After experiments carried out over the past three years by corporation engineers were successfully completed, a final design was approved and an application submitted to Mepa to upgrade the three plants. The plants today treat sewage to a level good enough to be discharged at sea under the EU Wastewater Directive but do not polish it enough to make it usable as second class water for general use in agriculture and for industry. It goes without saying that treated sewage affluent, when polished to specific standards, will potentially reduce pressure on our heavily-exploited aquifers with the subsequent beneficial de-nitrification of the water it produces. It would be a pity if we don’t plan ahead to store such a rich resource and just pump it straight back into the sea because of lack of adequate storage or filtering equipment. As a temporary measure, in the absence of reservoirs, we could embellish the valleys by creating artificial lakes. This would create its own problems since some of our valleys have illegal buildings that preclude their use as temporary lakes. For the romantic at heart, one can try to visualise Wied Babu or the picturesque Nadur valley brimming with recycled water in the searing summer heat. Our small islands, devoid of natural water supply from hills or mountains are sometimes compared to an arid dessert and yet it is home to over 500,000 (including temporary visitors). The treatment and re-use of sewage on existing plants, which so far has cost over €100 million, is a dream come true and perhaps in the near future we can exploit this resource by creating a sizeable man-made lake with gondolas rides and other water sports. Such lakes will permit water to slowly filter into the water table thereby replenish its currently deleted state. This could be one solution to the drought that is expected to haunt us as a result of global warming.
Scientific evidence predicts a 20 per cent reduction in rainfall by the end of the century. So can we continue to waste water by dumping in the sea when it can be a solution to re-establish equilibrium in our eco system? It certainly does not come cheap but then, Mepa, which is sitting on a cash mountain running into millions (collected from parking schemes over the past 20 years), may be wise to take collective responsibility and itself instigate the necessary work to subsidise and redistribute recycled water. As stated earlier, the Water Services Corporation has filed planning applications to upgrade its three sewage treatment plants and enable them to reclaim water for irrigation and industrial use thus utilizing 22 million cubic metres of treated sewage per year. WSC chief executive Marc Muscat said such new equipment would further treat an estimated nine million cubic metres to produce water suitable for industrial and agricultural use, including batching plants (concrete mixing etc).
To conclude, we must use every means to help Mother Nature reclaim her lost equilibrium and in the process reap rich dividends in the quality of our living standards in these islands once characterized in ancient Greek legends as the isle of milk and honey.
The writer is a partner in PKF an audit and business advisory firm.
gmm@pkfmalta.com

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